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Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Discussion papers
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2019-61
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2019-61
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 06 Mar 2019

Research article | 06 Mar 2019

Review status
This discussion paper is a preprint. It is a manuscript under review for the journal Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

AGRIDE-c, a conceptual model for the estimation of flood damage to crops: development and implementation

Daniela Molinari1, Anna Rita Scorzini2, Alice Gallazzi1, and Francesco Ballio1 Daniela Molinari et al.
  • 1Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, Piazza Leonardo da Vinci 32, 20133, Milano, Italy
  • 2Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Università degli Studi dell’Aquila, Via Gronchi, 18, 67100, L’Aquila, Italy

Abstract. This paper presents AGRIDE-c, a conceptual model for the assessment of flood damage to crops. All available knowledge on damage mechanisms triggered by inundation phenomena is systematised in a usable and consistent tool, with the main strength represented by the integration of physical damage assessment with the evaluation of its economic consequences on farmers’ gross product. This allows AGRIDE-c to be used to guide the flood damage assessment process in different geographical and economic contexts, as demonstrated by the example provided in this study for the Po Plain (North of Italy). The development and implementation of the model highlighted that a thorough understanding and modelling of damage mechanisms to crops allows for comprehensive cost-benefit analyses of risk mitigation actions, and is a powerful tool to orient farmers’ behaviour towards more resilient damage alleviation practices.

Daniela Molinari et al.
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Daniela Molinari et al.
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Short summary
This paper presents AGRIDE-c, a new conceptual model for the estimation of flood damage to crops, and its application in North of Italy. The model (developped with the support of agronomists and economists by means of a what-if analysis) can support more reliable assessments of the economic effectiveness of flood risk mitigation measures, and the implementation of more resilient damage alleviation practices by farmers.
This paper presents AGRIDE-c, a new conceptual model for the estimation of flood damage to...
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