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Discussion papers | Copyright
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 30 Aug 2018

Research article | 30 Aug 2018

Review status
This discussion paper is a preprint. It is a manuscript under review for the journal Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

ANYCaRE: A role-playing game to investigate crisis decision-making and communication challenges in weather-related hazards

Galateia Terti1, Isabelle Ruin1, Milan Kalas2, Ilona Láng3, Arnau Cangròs i Alonso4, Tommaso Sabbatini2, and Valerio Lorini2 Galateia Terti et al.
  • 1Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Grenoble INP, IGE, F-38000 Grenoble, France
  • 2KAJO, s.r.o., Slovakia
  • 3Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FIN-00101 Helsinki, Finland
  • 4Catalan Water Agency, ACA, 08036 Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain

Abstract. This study proposes a role-playing experiment to explore the value of modern impact-based weather forecasts on the decision-making process to (i) issue warnings and manage the official emergency response under uncertainty and (ii) communicate and trigger protective actions at different levels of the warning system across Europe. Here, flood or strong wind game simulations seek to represent to the players realistic uncertainties and dilemmas embedded in the real-time forecasting-warning processes. The game was first tested in two scientific workshops in Finland and France where European researchers, developers, forecasters and civil protection representatives played the simulations. Two other game sessions were organized afterwards (i) with undergraduate University students in France and (ii) with Finnish stakeholders involved in the management of hazardous weather emergencies. First results indicate that multi-model developments and crowdsourcing tools increase the level of confidence in the decision-making under pressure. We found that the role-playing approach facilitates interdisciplinary cooperation and argumentation on emergency response in a fun and interactive manner. ANYCaRE experiment was proposed, therefore, as a valuable learning tool to enhance participants’ understanding of the complexities and challenges met by various actors in weather-related emergency management.

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Galateia Terti et al.
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Galateia Terti et al.
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Publications Copernicus
Short summary
First applications of ANYCaRE Experiment revealed that multi-model impact-based outputs help forecasters and civil protection to shape a holistic view of the situation and enhance their confidence on specific emergency activities to be decided and communicated. This interdisciplinary work is conducted in the frame of ANYWHERE European project that aims to provide institutions across Europe with a decision-support tool to better anticipate and respond to extreme weather and climate events.
First applications of ANYCaRE Experiment revealed that multi-model impact-based outputs help...