Journal cover Journal topic
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
doi:10.5194/nhess-2016-402
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed
under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
30 Jan 2017
Review status
A revision of this discussion paper is under review for the journal Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).
Statistical characteristics of convective wind gusts in Germany
Susanna Mohr1,2, Michael Kunz1,2, Alexandra Richter3, and Bodo Ruck2,3 1Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-TRO), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany
2Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology (CEDIM), Karlsruhe, Germany
3Institute for Hydromechanics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany
Abstract. Due to the small-scale and non-stationary nature of the convective wind gusts usually associated with thunderstorms, there is a considerable lack of knowledge regarding their characteristics and statistics. In an effort to remedy this situation, we investigated in this study a set of 110 climate stations of the German Weather Service between 1992 and 2014 to analyze the temporal and spatial distribution, intensity, and occurrence probability of convective gusts.

Similar to thunderstorm activity, the frequency of convective gusts decreases gradually from South to North Germany. No further spatial structures, such as a relation to orography or climate conditions, can be identified regarding their strength or likelihood. Rather, high wind speeds of above 30 m s−1 can be expected everywhere in Germany with almost similar occurrence probabilities. A comparison of the 20-year return values of convective gusts with those of turbulent gusts demonstrates that the latter have higher frequencies, especially in northern Germany. However, for higher return periods, this effect can be reversed at some stations.

The values of the convective gust factors are mainly in a range between 1 and 4 but can even reach values up to 10. Besides the dependency from the averaging time period of the mean wind, the values of the gust factors additionally depend on the event duration and the storm type, respectively.


Citation: Mohr, S., Kunz, M., Richter, A., and Ruck, B.: Statistical characteristics of convective wind gusts in Germany, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., doi:10.5194/nhess-2016-402, in review, 2017.
Susanna Mohr et al.
Susanna Mohr et al.
Susanna Mohr et al.

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Due to the small-scale and non-stationary nature of the convective wind gusts usually associated with thunderstorms, there is a considerable lack of knowledge regarding their characteristics and statistics. Thus, we investigated the temporal and spatial distribution, intensity and return values of those wind events in Germany. The study constitutes a fundamental input to an improved understanding of convective wind gusts and serves as basis for further risk assessments.
Due to the small-scale and non-stationary nature of the convective wind gusts usually associated...
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